The NBA season is upon us once again, and last year I finished at 194-145 netting +104 units for clients. I have a myriad of NBA systems, that don't backfit data that make them work. I will hedge those thoughts, because I am not dependent on systems to make plays, but utilize them in conjunction with solid handicapping theory and processes that have been honed, developed and redeveloped over the course of 25 years. Sports wagering is an ameba, that mutates from season to season, and what works one season, may very well be a recipe for disaster the next! It requires constant change in how you utilize information, strategy, and game situations, to ensure you stay ahead of the curve, and avoid the pitfalls, and trap doors, that many find themselves in. I decided with the advent of the 2009-10 NBA season, I'd share a few systems to watch, and allow you to decide, if they are worth following and pulling the trigger on, when they arise during the course of the upcoming season.

I have developed a unique skill, and one component of that skill, which is learned over the years, is when a game looks so easy, I tend to focus on the otherside, since likely, that is where the value will be found. Oddsmakers are well equipped professionals, armed with computer generated lines, which they have a chance to tweak, based on situations, and likely public perception, at the time of posting. There are few holes, as the market year to year is extremely efficient. It is finding the holes, the market inefficiencies, where I make a living, and I have become very astute, to where they are to be found.

To carry that thought, teams that looked as bad as a team could look in their last game, in the NBA let's focus on teams off an absolutely dreadful offensive performance, the team noone wants any part of, the team that the oddsmakers are forced to give extra points to, creating value. I looked back over the last 18 years in the NBA, and what happens to the worst offensive performers in their next game, those teams that really lay an egg offensively and score less than 65 points in an NBA. These teams noone wants any part of, but they are cash cows to a savvy sports investor. They return the next time out on the court to go 46-29 ATS or covering at a rate of 61.33%. You would have risked as a $100.00 investor, $8,250.00 (110 x 100) on these lousy performers, and netted $1,410.00 in profits. (29 x 100 = 3,190.00 in losses, and 46 x 100 = 4,600.00 in winners). That creates a ROI (return on investment) of 17.09% (returned 1,410/risked 8,250). Certainly better than all or most investment portfolios would secure lately!

How about another ugly set of teams, those that scored less than 70, and yet the oddsmakers bait you by posting them as a home favorite their next game? These cash machines have gone 44-30 ATS or 59.46% ATS. That equates to a 13.51% ROI.

Turning to ugly teams once again, that are obviously playing an NBA Mighty Might, I take a look at home underdogs that are generating 10 or more points. These teams on the blind return a 137-111 ATS mark, good for a bookie burning 55.24%! So how do you fare even better with these sorry saps? Put them in that same role, when they appear to be at their worst, off a straight up loss! Those bad teams as a 10 or more point home dog are 120-78 ATS or 60.6% winners! That is close to 200 plays hitting over 60% and returning 15.70% ROI!!!!

These are just small samples of a much larger and productive set of tools I bring to the NBA table. Do I play these on the blind? Never!...but they are always in play as part of my daily NBA handicapping regimen. If you like playing the NBA, or are a serious investor, take a look at my philosophy, and track record, and decide if I can offer and share my incites on the league on a daily basis.

I wish everyone a most profitable NBA season, as I look forward to the summer research I have done, and with homework complete, it is now showtime! My favorite part of it all!

May the hook be with you!

EAST