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NFL Betting: AFC West Preseason Report

Tony  Stoffo
Tony Stoffo

Tony Stoffo is the author of the famous gambling book, Money Management for the Year Round Professional.
By:Tony Stoffo     Date: Jul 31, 2008
Print Article   

Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money.  In the 2007 NFL preseason at 10starpicks my preseason selections went a documented 12-3 hitting at a solid 80%. All these plays were found in my 2007 preseason report I released.

In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.

A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 4 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.

Here are the 4 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:

Atlanta - Mike Smith

Baltimore - John Harbaugh

Miami - Tony Sparano

Washington – Jim Zorn

OK so here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each AFC West team.

AFC West

Denver – Head coach Mike Shanahan used to be a solid money maker in the preseason however has gone only 4-4 against the spread over the past 2 seasons. But what really still stands out is the Broncos willingness to dominate in their final preseason game of the year going 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 with their only loss coming back in 04.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:   Jay Cutler, Patrick Ramsey, Darrell Hackney, Cullen Finnerty  

Kansas City – One strong early trend to watch this preseason for Kansas City is the Chiefs definitely don’t look forward to playing their first preseason game of the year going 0-5 against the spread the last 5 years. Plus the Chiefs overall continue to show no interest at all in trying to win under head coach Herm Edwards in the preseason going 3-13 against the spread over the past 4 seasons.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Brodie Croyle, Damon Huard, Tyler Thigpen

Oakland – A couple of solid trends to checkout for the Raiders this preseason. First of all Oakland is a perfect 4-0 against the spread at home over the past 2 years. Plus they are a solid 10-3 under during the past 3 years.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: JaMarcus Russell, Andrew Walter, Marques Tuiasosopo

San Diego – Norv Turner took over the reins of the Chargers last season. In Turner’s last head coaching job with the Raiders back in 04 and 05 a solid trend can be taken away from it that can give us an edge for the Chargers preseason games.  First of all in both of his dress rehearsal games in Oakland the Raiders went 0-2 against the spread, this trend continued for Turner last year as the Chargers lost at Arizona.  So watch for when the Chargers play the Seahawks on August 25th this year.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Phillip Rivers, Billy Volek, Charlie Whitehurst, Casey Bramlet.


 



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