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NFL Betting News: AFC East Preseason Preview

Tony  Stoffo
Tony Stoffo

Tony Stoffo is the author of the famous gambling book, Money Management for the Year Round Professional.
By:Tony Stoffo     Date: Aug 1, 2007
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Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money.

In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.

A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 7 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.

Here are the 7 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:

Arizona - Ken Whisenhunt

Atlanta - Bobby Petrino

Dallas - Wade Phillips

Miami - Cam Cameron

Oakland - Lane Kiffin

Pittsburgh - Mike Tomlin

San Diego - Norv Turner

AFC East

Buffalo – The Bills lost 3 of their 4 preseson games last year under new head coach Dick Jauron. This follows a trend that in Jauron’s last two preseasons when he was head coach of the Chicago Bears back in 2002 and 2003, he went 2-6 ATS. Buffalo also hired Marv Levy last year as its vice president of football operations. Remember Levy coached all those great Buffalo teams that went to the Super Bowl. But Levy never cared about winning in the preseason. Under this new leadership will have to make the Bills a definite fade again this preseason.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: J.P. Losman, Craig Nall, Trent Edwards.

Miami Cam Cameron takes over as the Dolphins new head coach. Over the last 5 years Cameron has been the offensive coordinator of the potent Chargers offense.  However with all the uncertainties the Dolphins have on both sides of the ball coming into this year their definitely a team to stay away from this preseason.  The one thing I did find that sticks out is that Miami is a perfect 0-6 against the spread in the first preseason game the last 6 years.   

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Trent Green, Cleo Lemon, John Beck

New England – Coming into last years preseason the 'under' was an impressive 13-3 in the Patriots last 16 preseason games spanning the previous four years. However last year Bill Belichick opened things up offensively with the Patriots scoring 23, 30, 41, and 23 points in their 4 preseason games. Knowing that the odds makers will continue to post low totals on all of New England’s preseason games, I would look to take advantage of this and play the over off of last years results.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Tom Brady, Matt Cassel, Matt Gutierrez

New York Jets – In his first year as head coach of the Jets Eric Mangini showed no willingness to win preseason games as the Jets lost 3 of their 4 games. Their only win came against a Joe Gibbs Washington team that has lost 7 of their last 8 preseason games.  Even though we have only one year to look at, I would say this short term trend will continue this preseason.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Chad Pennington, Kellen Clemens, Marques Tuiasosopo


 


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