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NFL Betting News: AFC South Preseason Preview

Tony  Stoffo
Tony Stoffo

Tony Stoffo is the author of the famous gambling book, Money Management for the Year Round Professional.
By:Tony Stoffo     Date: Aug 3, 2007
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Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money.

In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.

A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 7 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.

Here are the 7 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:

Arizona - Ken Whisenhunt

Atlanta - Bobby Petrino

Dallas - Wade Phillips

Miami - Cam Cameron

Oakland - Lane Kiffin

Pittsburgh - Mike Tomlin

San Diego - Norv Turner


AFC South

Houston – Gary Kubiak brought the Denver preseason winning ways to Houston last year as the Texans went 3-0-1 against the spread last year in his first year as head coach. With a very solid quarterback rotation in place I look for the Texans to again be a winning proposition this preseason. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Schaub, Sage Rosenfels, Bradlee Van Pelt, Jared Zabransky

Indianapolis – Two late preseason trends to watch this year for the Colts. Over the past 5 years Indianapolis has been a money maker in their dress rehearsal game going 4-1 against the spread (this year’s dress rehearsal game is on August 25th against Detroit).  While just as impressive is how poorly they play in their last preseason game of the year going 1-4 against the spread. Look for both of these solid trends to continue this year.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Peyton Manning, Jim Sorgi, Josh Betts, and John Navarre.

Jacksonville – The Jaguars are sure known for their defense in the regular season. However head coach Jack Del Rio has pulled in the reigns during the last 2 preseasons allowing the Jaguars to open things up offensively as the over has gone 6-2. Look for this trend to again be a money maker this year as the odds makers continue to post low totals on all of the Jacksonville preseason games.  

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Byron Leftwich, David Garrard, Quinn Gray.

Tennessee – Two years ago, Titans head coach Steve Fisher had won 75 percent of his preseason games in the previous five years. However, things started to turn around in 05 with the Titans going 1-3 ATS. Then last year the Titans came with another 1-3 ATS record for a combined 2-6 record against the spread over the past two years. With Vince Young seeing limited action this preseason, and the rest of the Tennessee quarterback rotation unsettled. I look for the Titans to again be a play against team this preseason. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Vince Young,
Kerry Collins, Kent Smith


 

  Tony Stoffo

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Click here to view all of Tony Stoffo's premium picks.

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