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No Payback Payday - An Inside Look At Last Home Game Sets

Tom Stryker
Tom Stryker

A professional handicapper since 1984, Tom Stryker offers you 23 years of experience.
By:Tom Stryker     Date: Mar 1, 2008
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College basketball teams refer to this contest as "senior night." It is the final home game of the regular season where athletes get one last chance to walk off their homecourt a winner. This is an emotional evening for both players and coaches. There are times when this event leads to a lackluster performance because of all the distractions involved. However, for the most part, this is usually the one game where you know that a home team will give literally everything its got in order to pick up a victory.

Sports handicappers in the industry like to label this battle as an "LHG". There are a bunch of different technical ways a 'capper can break teams down in last home game sets. Some use revenge while others actually go against high priced favorites. Personally, I have 10 reliable Last Home Game Systems in my portfolio and all have made me a ton of money in the past. The one I am going to share with you today is lucky No. 7 and it's called "No Payback Payday". Take a look.

Since 1990, college basketball teams playing in their last home game of the season carry a 1448-1369 ATS record for 51.4 percent. That doesn't give any profit (counting the vig) but it does indicate right off the bat that the potential is there!

With our base in hand, let's make our LHG team affordably priced. After breaking down the lines a number of different ways, I discovered the most profit was found when our host was an underdog or a favorite of -4 or less. In this set, the home team improves to 732-639 ATS for 53.3 percent. This tightener puts us in the black. If you invested $100 per game on all of those last home game sets, you would have pocketed $2,910 in net profit with the juice.

Here's the spot where this system goes from good to great. With our 732-639 ATS on the board, this technical set improves to a sizzling 125-77 ATS for 61.8 percent provided our host owns a won/loss percentage of .375 or better and they are not playing with revenge. By eliminating bad teams and those that might be playing with too much emotional energy (revenge sets can do that), this No Payback Payday system now nets a $100 investor $4,030 in net profit. The nice part about that number is you only had to invest on 202 total games instead of 1,371 contests to get that money. Talk about less risk!

There is one additional parameter that can be added to the last tightener that makes this system really pop. If we remove those home teams that won 11 or more games on their homecourt this season, this technical set zips to a blistering 92-46 ATS for 66.6 percent! The stronger homecourts lead to inflated numbers. By taking a team that owns 10 home wins or less we can eliminate those squads that might come overpriced.

The Horizon League has its conference tournament on Tuesday, March 4th and that will officially begin March Madness. These "No Payback Payday" last home game sets will be popping up regularly over the next eight days. Be sure to hang on to this powerful college basketball system. It will definitely make you money in the days to come! I'll be back next Friday with another informative handicapping article. Best of luck this weekend, Tom Stryker.
 

  Tom Stryker

Tom Stryker's NCAA Revenge Game of the Month
Don't make a move on Saturday's college card without this juicy best bet. Stryker has isolated a tremendous payback situation that comes with the support of two awesome angles that boast records of 16-3-1 ATS and 13-3 ATS! Grab Tom's NCAA Revenge Game of the Month for only $20!


Tom Stryker's NCAA Surprise Blowout
BLOWOUT ALERT! After burning the midnight oil, Tom uncovered an extremely rare college football system that boasts a spotless 11-0 SU and ATS mark. The best part of this situation is the play on team has won by an average of 34.1 ppg! Grab Tom's UNDEFEATED NCAA Surprise Blowout for only $20!


Tom Stryker's NCAA Conference Crusher of the Week
As soon as the pointspread was posted on this contest, Tom had it circled in red and noted that there was serious blowout potential. After breaking the game down, Stryker uncovered a powerful 100-49 ATS for 67.1 percent system that applied to his side and the game was immediately elevated to best bet status! Grab Tom's Conference Crusher of the Week for only $20!


Click here to view all of Tom Stryker's premium picks.

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