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Super Bowl Betting: Does Current ATS Performance Matter?

Michael  Alexander
Michael Alexander

Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports.
By:Michael Alexander     Date: Feb 2, 2008
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By now, every conceivable angle and opinion as been voiced in one form or another creating as many thoughts of a New England Patriots win and cover as a New York Giants cover. In addition, by now everyone on the planet knows of the Patriots struggles during the second half of the season. After blowing through the first eight games of the season a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS they are not a woeful 2-8 ATS their last ten games including 0-2 ATS in the playoffs. So, in betting this years Super Bowl one has to wonder if current ATS performance going into this big game have any bearing on that particular teams chances of winning and covering.

In the history of Super Bowl Betting the team that has won the game outright is an unbelivable 33-5-3 ATS. However, before you jump for joy thinking no way New England is going to lose the game outright therefore I have the spread winner, consider that 2 of those 5 losses were by the Patriots whose last two Super Bowl victories we by 3 points each leaving them as a non-cover.

Although the New England Patriots didn't cover in their last two Super Bowl wins they did come the Big Game sporting 9-1-1, 6-1 and 4-0 ATS performances. Last year the Indianapolis Colst were 3-0 ATS. In addition, over the past 10 years teams like Pittsburgh were 6-0-1 ATS, Tampa Bay was 7-2 ATS, Baltimore 9-1 was ATS and St. Louis was 6-2 ATS. In fact going back 15 years only two teams were ever as bad as New England in covering the number. That was the 1999 Denver Broncos who won their second consecutive Super Bowl but were 2-4 ATS at the end of the season (however they did cover both of their playoff games) and the 1995 Dallas Cowboys who were 3-3 ATS in their last six games but also covered both postseason contests.

So, if you're not confused yet, let's see if any of this information get's us to the winner of the Super Bowl ATS, because after all, when all is said and done that is pretty much all that matters (unless of course you are bonafide New England or New York fan).

History tells us that the SU Winner of the Super Bowl is a virtual lock to cover the number (33-5-3 ATS historically) but contradicting that is that New England owns two of the five losses. Teams finishing the season have won past Super Bowls (Denver and Dallas) but did happen to cover the number in their playoff games leading up to the Super Bowl.

If all of this is still confusing, join Michael Alexander at Alexandersports as he has poured through all of the information, trends, angles and intangibles to come up with the GUARANTEED winner of this years Super Bowl Betting.


 

  Michael Alexander

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