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Vernon Croy |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - Jul 2, 2009 8:05 PM EDT |
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| Play: Money Line: -144 Chicago Cubs Pick Title: Vernon Croy's Thursday Night MLB Free Play |
Take the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline, We are actually getting great value here tonight with the Cubs who have the superior pitcher on the mound with Ryan Dempster (4-5, 4.09 ERA) and Seth McClung (3-1, 3.55) was hit hard in his only start this season with an ERA of 6.75 while lasting just 4 innings. Dempster has owned the Brewers over his career with a 9-2 record and an ERA of just 3.28 over 15 starts against them and the Cubs are 5-1 in Dempsters last 6 home starts against a team with a winning record. The Cubs have won 4 straight at home and the Brewers are just 0-6 in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning record above .600 at home. The Brewers are just 3-10 in their last 14 games against a right hand starter and they are also just 2-5 in their last 7 road games as a dog of +110 to +150. Take the Chicago Cubs as my MLB Free Play for Thursday night.
Vernon Croy crushed the books yesterday with the Atlanta Braves in a 11-1 ROUT over the Phillies and he has his MLB Smash for Thursday night cashing hands down backed by a 90% Angle so get on it now.
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John Ryan |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - Jul 2, 2009 8:05 PM EDT |
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| Play: Money Line: -144 Chicago Cubs Pick Title: Cubs |
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Chicago Cubs as they host the Brewers set to start at 8:05 EST. Cubs starter Dempster is a solid 22-8 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. Cubs are a solid 35-10 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in home games on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors over the last 2 seasons. Dempster is also 31-13 (+14.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. Dempster was roughed up a bit in his last start, but that was just one of those high scoring games. He allowed 5 Er at the CWS and that marked the first time he allowed 3 or more ER in 6 straight starts. So, that is anomaly and based on the AiS projections and gradings he will have an 88% probability of completing 6 or more innings. Should that occur the Cubs have a 92% probability of wining. Dempster has a great slider and change. The slider he throws 27% of the time, 36% of the time to RH batters and allowing a 207 BA on that pitch. He also throws the change 11% of the time, 18% of the time to LH hitters allow a 225 BA on that pitch. When he gets first pitch strike he becomes very hard to hit period. Take the Cubs.
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