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Matt Fargo
Matt has (2) Plays Thursday.
He dropped a very small amount with this Trifecta Wednesday as he WON with +145 Oakland! He comes roaring back on Thursday and he gets the festivities started right away!
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| With over 12 years of sports handicapping experience, my analysis, information and expert picks give you what you want.... winners! I’m not here claiming to be undefeated over the last 10 years and I’m not going to fill your head with any useless inside information, because it doesn't exist. I do my homework plain and simple and come up with the plays that give us the best chance of winning. When you win, we win. You will see that our angles, statistical analysis and handicapping approaches will make you a consistent winner. One of the most drawn on adages in sports handicapping is that it’s not a sprint, it’s a marathon. I cannot agree more. Consistency over the long haul is what every sports bettor should be interested in and that is what I provide. When the winning days outnumber the losing days by a large margin, I must be doing something right. Keep three things in mind when looking for sports service - Consistency, Honesty, and Integrity. You’ve found all three right here! |
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WNBA 39-29-1
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| Wednesday, July 28, 2010 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT |
Premium Play |
| Play: Money Line: 127 Washington Nationals |
Loss |
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Click Here to View Play Analysis
Our play yesterday on Atlanta was scratched due to a pitching change for the Nationals as Stephen Strasburg did not make the start. Tonight we see the line do a complete 180 as the Braves are now the favorites and we will also switch sides for this one. Atlanta is now 23-29 on the road this season after getting shutout as the road offense continues to struggle. The Braves are hitting only .253 away from home and last night was the seventh time in the last 11 meetings they were held to three runs or fewer against Washington. The Nationals improved to 26-21 at home so they have been very solid in front of their home fans. The victory snapped a three-game losing streak as well as put an end to a 2-7 from the most recent roadtrip. Washington is hitting .276 at home while posting a 3.88 ERA from the pitching staff so both sides have been performing extremely well. Livan Hernandez remains one of the top comeback players this season as he continues to pitch extremely well. He has allowed only two runs on 15 innings in two starts since the All-Star break and most impressive were that they were on the road. At home he has a 2.57 ERA while tossing eight quality outings in 11 starts. The Nationals are 9-2 in those games, which account for close to 35 percent of the Washington home wins. The Braves are road favorites because of Tim Hudson as his numbers this season have been outstanding. He has a 2.47 ERA and 1.13 WHIP overall including a 2.60 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the road. The problem is Atlanta is just 11-9 and 5-6 respectively and those records are bad with pitching numbers like those. Play against favorites of -150 or less that are averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 rpg and with a starting pitcher with a 2.50 ERA or better over his last five starts going up against a pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better on the season. This situation is 37-18 (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. Atlanta is 0-9 in road games against starting pitchers that throw more than 6.5 innings per start this season while Washington is 7-0 in home games started by Hernandez against teams averaging less than a home run per game this season. 10* Washington Nationals
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| Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT |
Premium Play |
| Play: Money Line: 139 Oakland Athletics |
Win |
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Click Here to View Play Analysis
Oakland lost a tough opener last night in extra innings as it was able to hang around against Cliff Lee who went nine innings once again. The A’s are now 9-3 over their last 12 games and while it may seem farfetched, they are still alive in the division, trailing by 8.5 games. While unlikely to make a run, the young pitching is keeping them around and that will be the case again tonight. The Rangers are proving they will not go away as they continue to increase their lead in the American League West. Like Oakland, Texas is also 9-3 over its last 12 games but one thing that has been an issue has been the offense. The Rangers have scored three runs or fewer in eight of their last 14 games while averaging just 3.9 rpg over that stretch. This includes three games of eight runs each which makes the consistent run that much worse. Trevor Cahill is one of those young pitchers mentioned earlier. He has been outstanding with a 3.15 ERA and 1.04 WHIP on the season through 17 starts. Overall, Oakland is 12-5 in those 17 games and for himself, he has won eight of his last 10 decisions. After giving up three homers and six runs in his first start of the season, Cahill was sensational for the remainder of the first half, going 9-2 with a 2.50 ERA over 14 trips to the hill. He surrendered more than two earned runs just four times in that span, which helped him earn his first All-Star nod. He squares off against Colby Lewis who has surprised many with his sensational season, his first in the Majors since 2007. He has been very steady with a 3.52 ERA on the season but of his 19 starts, only 11 have been quality outings and Texas is just 10-9 in his games which is certainly nothing special. Two of his quality performances this season came against Oakland however both resulted in losses for the Rangers. Play on American League road underdogs of less than +150 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season as well as with a WHIP of 1.10 or better over his last 10 games. This situation is 48-23 (67.6 percent) since 1997. 9* Oakland A’s
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| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT |
Premium Play |
| Play: Money Line: 141 Cleveland Indians |
Loss |
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Click Here to View Play Analysis
The Indians came away with a win last night over C.C. Sabathia which helped ease some of the pain from the previous night in a 3-2 late-inning loss. Cleveland continues to play some excellent baseball despite dropping three straight against Tampa Bay as it is now 8-4 over its last 12 games and it remains fairly strong at home with a 23-25 record. The offense has hit a rough patch but I see it getting back on track tonight. The Yankees remain overpriced on the road. They were big favorites last night with Sabathia and that I can understand as he is one of the elite pitchers out there. That is not the case tonight however. New York is 29-20 on the road but it has netted just two units because of the inflated numbers almost every time out. The potent offense has been shut down the first two games of this series, scoring just four runs total. The pitcher in question for the Yankees is A.J. Burnett who has no reason to be laying this price on the road. He has a 4.77 ERA and 1.46 WHIP overall including a 6.06 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road where New York is 5-6 in his 11 road starts. He is coming off a decent outing against Kansas City in his last start but it still was not a quality performance and since the start of June, his ERA sits at 7.21. Fausto Carmona meanwhile has been outstanding and is easily the most consistent and reliable Indians starting pitcher. He has allowed three runs or fewer in 17 of 20 starts on the season and has a 3.51 ERA compared to a putrid 6.32 ERA last season. The biggest reason for Carmona's turnaround is his improved control. After averaging five walks per nine innings in each of the previous two seasons, Carmona's control has been much better this season as he is averaging 3.5 walks per nine innings. Cleveland has won six of his last eight starts including four of five at home. 9* Cleveland Indians
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| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres (MLB) - 10:05 PM EDT |
Free Play |
| Play: Money Line: 105 Los Angeles Dodgers |
Loss |
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Click Here to View Play Analysis
We won with the Dodgers in this spot last night and we will come right back with them again tonight. They got the victory last night behind another great pitching performance and that moved them to within five games of San Diego in the National League West. As mentioned yesterday, this series is huge for Los Angeles and its pitching remains the key. The Dodgers have shut out the opposition in four of the last six games and they want to continue that trend.
The loss put San Diego 10 games over .500 at home which is still extremely solid but the recent string of wins have come against teams with losing records as it is now 2-5 over its last seven home games against teams with a wining record. It is also 3-7 in its last 10 games overall against winning teams. The offense has been up and down and the season batting average of .251 is sixth worst in all of baseball.
As mentioned, the Dodgers pitching has been outstanding of late and I once again see it continuing tonight.
Hiroki Kuroda has been solid all season long with a 3.48 ERA and after a rough ending to the first half, he has picked it up once again in his starts after the All-Star break. He has allowed just one run in two starts covering 14 innings to go along with a 13:2 K:BB ratio. He has a 3.68 ERA in his last four starts against the Padres, three of which resulted in Dodgers victories.
San Diego counters with Clayton Richard, who is also having a great season but he looks to be fading. Richard came into July with a 2.74 ERA, but he's 1-1 with a 7.13 ERA in four starts this month and even though his last was the best, he is clearly not the same right now.
The Dodgers fall into a great contrarian run as well as they are 25-8 in their last 33 games after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span. They are also 22-8 in their last 30 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. As for the pitchers, Los Angeles is 18-6 in Kuroda’s last 24 starts following a quality outing in his last game while San Diego is 1-5 in Richard’s last six starts following a quality outing in his last game. 3* Los Angeles Dodgers
Fargo won with his Tuesday Trifecta as one game was scratched but his Winner on the +141 Mets sealed the profits! Tonight he comes right back with another Three-Pack and he anticipates a CLEAN SWEEP! He is releasing another 10* TOP PLAY Underdog to go along with two other pups and this is one card you cannot miss! Pound it now! Grab the card and CASH big Wednesday!
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2009 Southeastern Conference (East) Preview |
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Sep 3, 2009 |
The SEC has long been considered the toughest conference in football and rightfully so. It has produced the last three National Champions, Florida twice with LSU sandwiched in-between. The SEC leads all conferences in all-time titles with 17 and there will be teams looking to add to that this season and with legitimate shots in doing so. The leader of the pack is defending champion Florida who is ...
read more |
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2009 Big XII (North) Conference Preview |
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Sep 2, 2009 |
As strong as the Big XII South is, the North is just the opposite. There are good teams within the division no doubt but it is unlikely that any team will be able to challenge the top teams in the South as the top team in this division would finish either fourth or fifth in the other division. It looks as though it may be a two-team race in the North between Kansas and Nebraska although Colorado c ...
read more |
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| Plays are released every morning for your benefit so you have the ability to shop around for the best lines possible.
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| Rating Scale
Play Rating will be displayed in each title since no one rates games the same.
**10**
This is the “BEST of the Best” …These ratings are not frequent as they are THE TOP PLAY of all TOP PLAYS released. There is nothing higher than this.
**9**
This is the “BEST of the Rest”…these plays are just a notch below the **10** Reports and narrowly missed out on “Best of the Best” status.
**8**
This is a high-tiered TOP PLAY release and these are not released very often. These are equivalent to Game of the Month selections.
**7**
This is a low-tiered TOP PLAY release and these are released less frequently than his **8** Reports. These are equivalent to Game of the Week selections.
**5**
This is a regular selection and should be played at your normal wagering level. The majority of releases as part of a big card will be based on this unit.
**3**
This is a Low Rated selection equivalent to a Free Play. All Free plays will have a rating as no ‘opinions’ are released.
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